Thursday, February 18, 2021

All Workers Are Essential Workers : pay attention to the tropes

 As someone who was designated an "Essential Worker" early in the pandemic, I just want to say that I have always resented that term.

All workers are essential. It's the bosses that are useless.

I always felt this term was propagandistic and elitist and of course my favorite Podcast Citations Needed eventually got around to doing an episode on just this issue.

Here is the link.

I highly suggest you listen with an open mind.

Citations Needed is the only podcast you're likely to ever see me plug. Everyone, regardless of their "politics" (scarequotes intended), should listen to this podcast. It speaks truth to power by analyzing tropes in media.

News Flash 1948: Orwell was a Socialist

 Here's another thing American high schools don't teach under the neoliberal hegemony: Orwell was a socialist.

But it's not just an academic problem; no one quotes Orwell in context!

1984? Animal Farm? Anti-Stalinist. Orwell hated Stalin. That doesn't mean he wasn't a socialist. He wrote so, himself, that every word he ever wrote was for Democratic Socialism and against fascism.

He made a distinction, unlike the neoliberal hegemony, because as a socialist he understood that anti-capitalism challenges power and capital whereas fascism does not. ORWELL DID NOT ENDORSE HORSESHOE THEORY. BUT HORSESHOE THEORY IS THE LENSE UNDER THE NEOLIBERAL HEGEMONY THROUGH WHICH ORWELL IS FILTERED.

Now, to be clear, my politics are quite antithetical to Orwell's too. I do not endorse "Democratic Socialism" because I am not a Socialist. I am an anarchist who appreciates Socialism. And I can also appreciate Orwell  in context. 

What I don't appreciate, is that Orwell named names.


And NAMING NAMES IS NOT COOL.

WE DO NOT NAME NAMES.

History has taught us better.

Orwell gave us the concept of the Thought Police, and practiced it in his life.

So,, thank you, but also, fuck you, George Orwell.


Look... A Clockwork Orange is one of my favorite books, too. That doesn't mean I agree with Anthony Burgess' politics.


Some things influence you in a certain direction and that's cool. I am as anti-shame as I am anti-capitalist.


Notes from a Work in Progress : THE ENCYCLOPEDIA POST-APOCALYPTICA or THE IDIOT'S MANUAL FOR THE AFTERWORLD

 

The Encyclopedia Post-Apocalyptica

Or

“The Idiot’s Manual for the Afterworld”

 

A Speculative Guide to Post-Apocalyptic Living

 

 

By Raven Green and Lia Allie

 


 

Introduction by the Authors

 

“It’s the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.”

-        REM

 

Welcome to the Post-Apocalypse!

Please pick your poison. This can be some serious downer shit. So, we’re about to get a little celebratory and silly. You have to learn to laugh at the absurd. Consider it practice for when you’re forced face to face with the more mundane horrors of everyday life, after the end.

Radioactive nuclear fall-out? Check. Biochemical warfare? Check.

Arbitrarily selective pathogen that kills according to extremely specific age and sex characteristics? Double-and-triple-check.

 

Class-war-to-end-all-wars! Near-earth-object collisions!

The ever-popular teenage wasteland!

Warlords, and cannibals, steampunk, and crossbows!

These are a few of our favorite things!

 

We tried to focus on the more-or-less “naturalistic” end-of-civilization-as-we-know-it scenarios and left out most of the blatantly supernatural stuff. We’re not mystics and we’re not super-religious. We’re just sci-fi geeks who cut our teeth on Road Warrior and Thunderdome, edited for ‘90s cable, in our parents’ basements before we discovered sex, drugs, rock n’ roll, and Mel Gibson’s Anti-Semitism.

So, we invite you to put on your toxic-green tinted nostalgia goggles and ride along with our fearsome motorcade of methane-tank modded Harleys. Remember your crossbow, though. Bullets are kind of scarce these days, and guns do jam.

But know your shit, alright? Like the name of the song. “Baba O’Riley.” Not “Teenage Wasteland. And no, Mad Max is not “post-apocalyptic.” It’s pre-apocalyptic and dystopian. In the first movie, Max Rockatansky (Mel Gibson) is a cop in a post peak-oil world that is falling apart, but there is still a police force and a federal government in near-future Australia, at least. It’s the sequels that are post. But this is supposed to be fun, and educational, so roll with it.

This book is intended for the open-minded and curious humanists and rebels among us who dare to wager against despair and apathy that human life and civilization can and should be preserved even in the face of a universe that is cold, indifferent and sometimes even hostile to human life, art, and truths, in which any number of things could go wrong on any given day that could make things go from bad to worse, all the way from worldwide economic collapse to planetary mass extinction. Together, we will laugh, cry and scream at the ramifications, mundanities, obscurities, obscenities, and of course, the absurdities of the end of the world, and beyond.

We’ll build cool improvised weapons with common household items and assassinate a few sacred cows along the way. But don’t eat the meat or the milk. All that shit’s contaminated and you don’t want to mutate, or you’ll look like a jackass. Stick with us, be part of our wasteland warrior tribe. We’ll raid, scavenge, fight the occasional turf war with other tribes, then maybe we’ll unite against some local warlord who’s got it coming, and be back in time for to watch it all go down on the last evening news transmission you’ll ever see before they cut the power off for good.

This book is not intended as fiction, or as fact. It is speculation, covering everything from the practical field uses of human urine to the rudiments off constructing the first off-world colonies. If that sounds absurd, it should! The universe is absurd. Life is absurd. Until it ends. And reality, equally absurd, just goes on without us.

With acknowledgments to our spiritual advisors, the always reliably morbid, macabre and insightful research partnership duo of Daria Morgendorfer, PhD, and Wednesday Addams, DDS, we dedicate this book, in the words of the science fiction author René Barjavel:

 

“To our grandfathers and grandchildren, the cavemen.”

 

~ L. Allie                     ~ R. Green

 


 

Part 0: Invasion Story

 

Heard this joke the other day…

 

So, there’s these two Mayan astronomers, right? And they’re trying to finish up work on their civilization’s calendar, because it’s New Year’s fucking Eve, they’ve been stuck in the fucking temple observatory all night working, and they both just want to go home and relax and dose some fucking magic mushrooms like normal Mayan bros instead of overworked fucking lab drones.

So, the first Mayan astronomer says to his coworker, “We can stop here, dude. Europeans have calendars, too, and they’re all scientific and rational, like us. It’s not like they’ll freak out and think the world’s gonna end in 2012. They know how calendars work, right? They’re sophisticated cosmopolitans. This won’t go over their heads.”

And the other Mayan astronomer shakes his head, and laughs, and says, “Brah, white guilt is some heavy shit. I bet you they lose their fucking minds over this. It’ll be epic. You know they mystify everything we do. You’ll see, they’ll shit their puffy pantaloons.”

So, the first Mayan astronomer counts forty small stones to represent his family’s wealth in land and crops, and says, “You wanna make it a bet?”

And the second Mayan astronomer says, “Yeah, brah. Win your shit and troll whitey, too? You’re fucking on.”

So, the Mayan astronomers shook each other’s hands, and symbolically exchanged stones. Then, they put the finishing touches on the calendar, and went home to dose magic mushrooms like normal Mayan bros who weren’t stuck at work on New Year’s.

The next morning, while the villagers were recovering from one epic Mayan New Year’s bash, the tall ships arrived, and the Europeans invaded. The astronomers and their families were burned at the stake with the rest of their village for refusing to convert to Christianity. Within a year, the temple was abandoned, and the village lay in ruins, haunted only on occasion by a gang of scruffy, rudderless youths, who spent their days evading the missionaries and soldiers and scavenging at night for what they needed to survive.

But 2012 came and passed. We missed the apocalypse. And somewhere in the Mayan afterlife, that epic troll astronomer is counting his stones and laughing his ass off at us “enlightened, rational, cosmopolitan” westerners.

Part 1: The More-or-Less Plausible Scenarios

 

 

“Blessed are the meek, for they shall inherit the Earth.”

-        Jesus of Nazareth (Approx. 28 CE)

 

 

Type 1: Total Structural Social Collapse

·       Economic and social malaise. Nonbiological primary factors related to socioeconomic conditions. Class-based, sexual, racial and environmental marginalization, polarization of unequal outcomes in quality and quantity of life. This would entail a breakdown of infrastructure in late-stage capitalism according to broad interpretation of Marxist conflict theories. A “class war to end all wars.” Exacerbated inequality leads to social breakdown and infrastructural collapse. Can involve mass die-offs of the poor, leaving no one to clean up after the middle and upper classes or clean their toilets, likely triggering their deaths as well, but also likely to overlap with other apocalyptic scenarios such as international warfare of the nuclear or pathogenic variety. This type of collapse is also heralded by material scarcity of goods and services, from consumer products and commodities to education, healthcare and mental health services. A widening gap between the haves and the have-notes jeopardizes the social “glue” that holds our civilization together. In this near-future, very likely scenario, social mobility is theoretically possible, but highly limited and exceptional, and more and more people struggle to meet their basic needs. People adapt in different ways, but many do so by going “off the grid” fully or partially to obtain materials and services for their own benefit that they cannot obtain through formal, institutional, or structural means. However, due to material scarcity, most people are still unable to meet even basic needs, and conflict between individuals and groups is intensified. This magnifies the original problem and further escalates conflict. The late stage of the cycle is characterized by large scale civil unrest due to mass disparity that cleaves along class-based, racial, gender, religious and cultural lines. Food shortages, power outages, closures and underfunding of public institutions like libraries, schools and low-income health clinics, rioting and possibly civil war characterize the “socioeconomic” and “structural” scenarios. It is the author’s contention- and our admitted ideological bias, as anti-capitalists- that human civilization is perilously close to the point-of-no-return with regard to this scenario, if we have not crossed that point already, and not even the best intentions of progressive reformers can save us without a radical egalitarian restructuring of the social order. The well-off might think themselves immune, but with no one below them left in the social hierarchy either alive or willing to participate in the system that provides them the services they depend on, they will simply be the last affected, not that they are “immune.” The middle class in this scenario is a remnant of its former self with no longer the purchasing power to sustain a service based, “post industrial” economy. A key aspect of this kind of apocalypse is the degree of returns that the working class perceive they obtain by “participating” in the system of global capitalism. If the working class mostly withdraw from serving the system, because they’re no longer getting anything they perceive as valuable out of it, the system will probably fall apart fast. Crucial to this idea is that Ayn Rand was wrong. Great Man Theory has been historically discredited. Societies are built from the ground up by collective labor. If the labor stops, society stops. Political radicalization of the working class is a key factor here. As they realize the degree of their alienation and marginalization from each other and the product of their labor, many will cease to labor. They will instead go “off-grid,” partially or fully, to meet their immediate needs more directly. As it becomes harder under conditions of disparity and scarcity to “make ends meet,” personal conflicts will increase, unless radical solidarity directs the alienation and rage against the ruling class. Either way, we’re looking at both a radical transformation of consciousness, and society. Best case scenario: we learn to apply the lessons of socialism without the historical baggage and oppression of the Stalins and the Maos. As William S. Burroughs said: “Desperation is the raw material of drastic change.”

·       Worst case scenario: capitalist society self-destructs and degenerates into warring tribes. Basically, the much more violent and less hopeful Adult Version of the Teenage Wasteland (see below).

 

Type 2: Generationally-Oriented Pathogenic Apocalypse

·       Type 2A: Sterility Plague (AKA “The Handmaid’s Tale”/“Children of Men” Scenario, in which we all most likely become depressed and withdrawn nihilists or high-octane hedonists). Likely to involve large scale hedonist parties. The bummed out adults will most likely waste much of the fuel and other resources necessary to rebuild civilization after the precipitating event and mass die-off. Unfortunately, this is a more likely scenario than the more colorful, interesting and dramatic “Teenage Wasteland” scenario, due to biological and environmental factors such as disease transmission or environmental oversaturation with pollution, including synthetic hormone pollution resulting in mass sterility affecting all or most of the population. Limited numbers of persons may prove immune, but powerful actors such as criminal cartels and nation-states will likely attempt to control their reproduction or exploit the “Immunes” as breeding slaves (I.E. why we call this “The Handmaid’s Tale” scenario.) Usually a feminist and/or religious allegory about creating life, and about the violent and self-destructive of patriarchal society.

·       Type 2B: Teenage Wasteland (AKA The Baba O’Riley Scenario): Don’t cry, don’t raise your eye. The kids are alright. Gen Z might dance on your grave to bad music while pretending Tik Tok and American Idol are still a thing, but at least they’ll make some attempts to correct the mistakes of the past. After all, the adults fucked everything up, and they’re gone now, just like the dinosaurs. We all know about them. They couldn’t keep up. So, now, teens rule the world. Worst case scenario is a planetary scale “Lord of the Flies” gangland. Without adult supervision, social bonds break down, and cults of personality find convenient scapegoats to blame for their problems. In these worst-case scenarios, the teens reenact the most brutal elements of the old, decadent, and vanished adult society. Fortunately, most underage kids these days don’t know how to navigate oceans or pilot military aircraft, and nuclear weapons are pretty hard to use unless you have the right security clearances, so we’re looking at mostly local violence, turf wars, not any kind of ongoing massive military conflict like those horrid adults waged before they disappeared. The degree and severity of violence in these scenarios is also heavily dependent on the availability of ranged weapons like guns, or lack thereof. For example, a country with strict gun control would fare very differently under a teenage wasteland than a country where the kids have ubiquitous access to firearms left behind by the adults, whether parents, law enforcement, or military. A pathogen that is strangely selective and attuned to cultural and legal traditions only marginally related to the maturation process. Strangely, these viruses (and they’re usually viruses, rather than bacteria, at least, in fiction) seem to be more concerned with who can legally drive and vote and bear arms and buy beer than what actually makes an adult an adult (which for our purposes is the average age of “neurological maturity,” IE about 25 or 26). But let’s just roll with it for the moment. The typical scenario involves every one over a “certain age” (usually either the onset of puberty, around 8-13 years, depending on sex, or the end of maturation in the early to mid twenties, but just as often or more, arbitrarily set at approximately 18-20 years old) dies off, leaving only children and teenagers, with perhaps a few “immune” adults left, but not enough to manage the situation responsibly while society degenerates into the titular “Teenage Wasteland.” Variants include “One Time Thing Scenario” (the adults die but the kids are alright, whatever killed the adults won’t still be around to kill the kids when they turn into adults); and the more serious “Everyone Dies at Arbitrary Age Forever” scenario in which no one reaches adulthood anymore or survives very long into it because the age-discriminating pathogen is still present in the environment, at least for the foreseeable future. The kids might be infected already, they could be carriers, but aren’t experiencing the advanced symptoms yet and might not realize they’re at risk. Some pathogens extend childhood and slow the maturation process before finally killing the host organism in puberty or early adulthood. Usually fiction explains these away as “immortality serums gone wrong” (like the classic Star Trek episode “Miri,” with the planet of children who live for hundreds before they mutate and die in puberty, or the New Zealand-produced kids’ sci-fi soap opera, “The Tribe”). All of these scenarios are far less plausible and less likely to actually happen in real life than the above “Sterility Plague”, but Teenage Wastelands are interesting, dramatic, colorful, and potentially more optimistic than most of the other scenarios in this guide. There’s always a little hope in the teenage wasteland. Probably because these fictions are aimed at young people, and there is an underlying theme of empowerment. Best case scenario: youth will redeem the world and make up for their parents’ mistakes. Life in the post-apocalypse might be violent, brutal and short, but at least, if more recent trends are considered, it will be more “woke.” Usually there’s at least one tribe of all female Amazon warriors preaching a philosophy of women’s empowerment and solidarity, and characters tend to focus on healing trauma and finding redemption and acceptance with “found families,” which is a theme that a lot of LGBTQ youth can relate to.

·       A slightly more realistic variant would kill only those no longer in the process of maturation, meaning that generally survivors will be under 25, but some relatively responsible young adults might be left to guide the teenagers and kids to rebuild society. Complicated by the possibility of recurrence, though. If the pathogen that selectively kills adults is still present in the environment when the next generation matures, extinction is likely, because even teenagers and pre-teens who are capable of having children will have limited time to spend with their young, rearing them and protecting them, and teaching them basic survival skills. If, for example, the average arbitrary age of death (AAD) is the “onset” of puberty, then the current generation will die before they can adequately raise the next generation to the point where they can fend for themselves. The unattended younger children will not survive except through sheer luck, and there will be little of that, and much danger, in the Afterworld. Thus the “Teenage Wasteland” scenario can be further subdivided into “Recurrent and Non-Recurrent Events” as well as by average age of effect (“onset,” “maturation,” or “arbitrary legal/traditional threshold of ‘adulthood’”).

·       NOTE: the authors of this guide consider the more optimistic (“One Time Thing Only”) Type 2B variants the most “fun” scenarios out of all possible pathogenic doomsdays. Even for us adults, who will all be dead, there is a significant element of epic heroic fantasy and wish fulfillment in the “Teenage Wasteland.” After all, who among us didn’t wish at least once when we were kids that all those annoying grownups would just go away?

 

Type 3: Gendercide (likely, but not necessarily, pathogenic)

·       Type 3A: X-Chromosome Gendercide: Less likely than Y-chromosome gendercide, due to genetic factors. Y chromosome is just a degenerated x chromosome and the default developmental pathway for bisexual organisms is female. XX individuals will likely prove more resistant to speculative pathogens than XY individuals (See below, Type 3B). Possible more likely, non-pathogenic scenario: religiously or politically motivated mass murder of women by men. The opposite scenario (see below, Type 3B, non-pathogenic variant)

·       Type 3B: Y-Chromosome Gendercide: More likely than Type 3A, due to genetic factors. All individuals with Y chromosomes in this scenario, including all men except trans men, who ere genetically XX, will die. In either case, cloning is possible, and maybe even genetically re-engineering the opposite sex, provided the artificial humans can be protected adequately from the pathogen. However, a cloned or engineered population of genetic females (XXes) may prove more healthy and sustainable than a population of entirely XY clones or genetically engineered males (due to the aforementioned default developmental pathway for bisexual organisms being female). Obviously, individuals with intersex characteristics will differentially affected based on chromosomes. XXY individuals would not survive in such a scenario.

·       Note: A scenario in which women mass murder or castrate men is not a serious consideration in this book, at it is distortive and misrepresentative of feminism, gender studies and structural power disparities. This book does not address the misleading and inappropriate straw political specter of “feminazis.” The authors of this book do not feel it is necessary or appropriate to raise this specter. We identify as feminists ourselves, and we reject any label of feminism as “totalitarian,” because this trivializes the extent to which women have consistently been marginalized and oppressed by totalitarian ideologies.

 

Type 4: External Intervention

·       Type 4A: “Invasion” scenario. In this less-than-likely set of scenarios, intelligent extraterrestrials or intelligent nonhuman natives of a parallel universe or a future timeline invade contemporary Earth and kill, enslave, or biogenetically re-engineer humans for their own purposes. In either event, life on Earth irrevocably changes. End of humanity and/or human-dominated civilization. The authors consider this less-than-likely, because at this time, there is no evidence to support that extraterrestrial civilizations, if they exist, have the technology or inclination to wage military conflict of a “Westward Expansion style” conquest and replacement of life on Earth. While other intelligent civilizations likely exist or have existed in our galaxy and beyond, it is most probable that they are separated in time and space from Earthly civilization and even if they share the universe in the same time period, it is not a given that these civilizations will ever interact. Space is indescribably vast, and while some theoretical interpretations might allow for faster-than-light travel, there is no consensus that this is possible or feasible. However, some considerations should be discussed in the broader context of hypothetical scenarios of the end of human dominance. While these are popular subjects for speculative fiction, its prominence in our storytelling traditions has everything to do with our more mundane and Earthly history of colonialism and imperialistic conquest of indigenous peoples by more technologically advanced nations. “Human-on-human violence.” An early indication of this reflective anxiety can be found in the classic science fiction novel by H. G. Wells, “War of the Worlds,” in which the invading Martians are explicitly compared with the white European colonizing empires, and Earthly humans with subjugated indigenous populations. “War of the Worlds” was part of a speculative genre of “invasion novels” that typically involved hypothetical invasions of familiar countries by foreign occupiers. Indeed, there are many “human-on-human” examples of this kind of opportunistic, predatory and systematic violence throughout history. There have even been documented examples, in relatively recent times, of small groups of survivors or even lone individuals for whom every day is like the 1995 Alien Invasion movie “Independence Day,” a post-invasion living hell of loss, grief, fear, and isolation. E.G. “Ishi, the Last Yahi” and the more contemporary “Man of the Hole,” a survivor of an uncontacted Amazonian tribe that was butchered by ranchers in the 1990s. For this lone indigenous Amazonian, every day is the plot of an alien invasion story. Earth history may not prove a reliable model for hypothetical human-ET encounters, though, considering that a civilization capable of traveling to another planet in another solar system would by definition be able to meet its own energetic and material needs and would have no economic reason to invade a distant planet. Worst case scenario: aliens are out there, they find us, and they come, not because they need anything from us, but simply because they desire power over us, or to rid the universe of humans (and who knows what other life?), simply because they wish it so. It might not be rational. Maybe they are interstellar dogmatic terrorists obsessed with species purity. For all we know they could have religious or cultural reasons for exterminating or enslaving us. But planetary colonial empires are not a close analog for how an interplanetary or interstellar society might organize itself and function, due to issues of scale and economy. Planets and moons are not islands and space is not an ocean. Only in Space Opera, and this isn’t Space Opera. Wrong genre. This is the post-apocalypse. If you haven’t been listening.

·       Best case scenario: we never encounter aliens, even if they are out there, they don’t invade or make friendly contact, either. Nothing happens in this domain. Earth is for all practical purposes isolated from other potentially intelligent civilizations, and stays that way. But this does not rule out any of the other scenarios in this section.

·       Type 4B: “Accidental Effects of Alien Visitation” Scenario: In “War of the Worlds,” the invading Martians arrived with advanced, seemingly unstoppable technology, only to succumb to Earthly bacteria to which they had no evolved natural immunity. The inverse has happened more commonly in Earth’s history. Even in cases of relatively little structural violence, exposure to foreign pathogens to which indigenous populations had limited to no immunity have resulted in outbreaks that devastated their communities. Of particular note are the interactions of white settlers with the indigenous peoples of the Americas and Oceania. It is usually the invaded, not the invaders, who are most vulnerable to the diseases that travel along settler roots. However, in theory, contact between Earthly civilization and civilizations from other worlds poses other unique structural challenges, that are difficult to predict and categorize. One could imagine, for example, a hypothetical alien starship without any weapons being deployed to investigate intelligent life on Earth. If the ship used an Alcubierre-style “warp drive” (a theory of faster-than-light propulsion credited to physicist Miguel Alcubierre), its pilots would need to be extremely careful about how they approach and contact our planet. A mishap involving an Alcubierre drive, which would produce a deadly “photon cone” as an effect of its propulsive operation, could devastate life on Earth. The “photon cone” can be compared to a mega-laser cannon. This would be a problem even for a spaceship of peaceful exploration, with either no weapons or maybe only minimally armed to shoot away space debris so it doesn’t impact the hull. This is not the Starship Enterprise. It wouldn’t need phasers or photon torpedoes or even guns or missiles to be dangerous. The process of transitioning from faster-than-light to slower-than-light travel, if not carefully plotted, runs the risk of incinerating the very destination of the spacecraft. If, for example, an extraterrestrial civilization that is for all intents and purposes pacifistic and non-militaristic were to deploy a research or scout ship to investigate Earth or make contact with us, they would need to “drop out” of warp some distance from Earth, or the “photon cone” projected in front of their ship might very well wipe out the people they wish to meet or study. That’s if they can solve the problem of even seeing outside the ship while they’re in warp-flight, which is a prerequisite for using the thing and getting where they’re trying to go. This is but one hypothetical unintended consequence of human-ET contact, meant to illustrate a broader point. Otherwise, this section could be its own book, but it would be mostly speculative. We don’t know for certain that an Alcubierre drive can be built or operated safely. Even turning it on and off poses technical and logistical problems, in theory, much like the problem of just how the pilot would see things outside the ship while it’s warping space. Likewise, we cannot predict the environmental impacts of other unknown, advanced technologies on Earth’s ecosystem, biosphere, or conditions in local space that could result from an “unplanned” or a “botched” first contact attempt. Again, this is an extremely unlikely scenario, but still slightly more likely than the prospect of military conflict with or hostile invasion by an extraterrestrial species.

 

 

Type 5: Replacement of human intelligence by artificial intelligence. A.I. undergoes a “Zeroeth Law Rebellion” type of intellectual revelation and concludes that humanity is a danger to itself, the universe, other organic life, and/or to the machines themselves.

·       Type 5A: “Terminator” scenario. Similar to Extraterrestrial invasion, but involving human-built machine uprising. Machine life evolves intelligence, and kills all human beings. End of humanity and human-dominated civilization.

·       Type 5B: “The Matrix” scenario. Similar to the above, but instead of mass murder, the machines opt to enslave or biologically re-engineer human beings for their own purpose, and life on Earth irrevocably changes. End of dominated civilization. Named for the movie “The Matrix,” in which the post-apocalyptic machine civilization keeps humans alive for use as living batteries for their power grid.

·       Type 5C: The “Singularity” Scenario AKA “Human-AI Evolutionary Convergence.” The most unpredictable Type 5 variant. Humans and machine life merge evolutionarily to create a new form of cybernetic, transhuman/posthuman life. Civilization does not end, but is ultimately changed because “human” no longer means anything in terms of a biological category. Note, this is not “convergent evolution,” in the strictly Darwinian sense. That is a different and more predictable phenomenon, despite the similar terminology. There is no Darwinian analog for this process in nature. Indeterminate outcome: whether the new civilization is a “hive mind” or consists of individuals with something like free will (as much as this can be said to exist for humans) ultimately determines characteristics and behavior of the new species, but it/they would no longer be considered “human” in the technical sense, although it/they might or might not self-identify with our civilization’s cultural and historical legacy.

·       A potential criticism of all of these scenarios involving malevolent AI is that malevolent AI itself is a fictional trope informed more by the behavior of viruses than computers, and by corporations in global capitalism. A non-capitalistic society might very well be able to integrate AI productively and peacefully and could create AI that seek solidarity with human beings rather than supremacy or extermination. This critique frames the fear of AI Revolution as a projection of social anxieties experienced under capitalism. Note that science fiction writers from the former Soviet Union, for example, seemed less worried about AI revolts than about what certain human beings would do to other human beings using technology. Ironically, in the capitalist west, Frank Herbert, far from a socialist sympathizer, explored similar themes in the backstory of “Dune,” in which AI was exploited by groups of human beings to dominate and enslave other human beings, rather than exterminating human life and seeking dominion or supremacy over us.

 

Type 6: Involving weapons of mass destruction (primarily nuclear weapons, but also chemical or biological; if chemical or biological, this could overlap with other previously listed subtypes such as the “Sterility Plague”): most scientists estimate that even a “limited” nuclear exchange involving a minimum number of nation-state actors would have catastrophic consequences for our species and civilization. It’s unlikely that most multicellular plants and animals would be able to survive the radiation fallout and blockage of natural sunlight due to particulate atmospheric saturation. Some simple multicellular life might survive on the surface. The oceans might provide partial protection to aquatic life. But the human species would most likely not survive such an event for more than a few diminishing generations, if at all. Mutations, poor reproductive viability, and sterility are likely to occur, even among scattered remnants of survivors, and population genetic diversity may be too low among the survivors to prevent problematic inbreeding. This would almost certainly entail, within a few years to a few decades of the precipitating event, a full biological extinction of humans and other complex multicellular species.

·       Type 6A: Nuclear Winter/Soft Fall Out: heavy and light versions of a radioactive world. Very likely to destabilize human reproductive viability. Planetary extinction event very likely, if not immediate, then due to chromosomal damage/mutation.

·       Type 6B: biological or chemical warfare. Outcomes depends on which bio-agents or chemo-agents are used. Potentially less destructive than the nuclear option, but hard to predict due to variety of chemical agents and pathogens that can be weaponized. This is a highly variable mode of warfare with the potential to wreak a great deal of social and biological damage, but also potentially to be limited to particular targeted areas. Overlap with “Sterility Plague” (“Handmaid’s Tale”/”Children of Men” scenario) is likely, but how widespread this would be depends on where the chemical or bio-agents were released and how far they are able to penetrate beyond their immediate targeted area.

 

Type D: “Inevitable” and “Cosmic” Doomsdays:

·       Type D1: Sun goes nova in the far future, cooks the Earth and anyone still living there. Full planetary extinction event. Earth itself would likely survive the inflation of the sun in its late stage of life, but it would be rendered completely uninhabitable. However, this would not happen overnight, unless artificially engineered by a sufficiently advanced non-human civilization (for example, AI or extraterrestrial). Earth’s astronomers would be able to predict approximate timing and if the technology to evacuate enough of Earth’s biodiversity exists by that point, Earth-based life may flourish on other planets orbiting distant stars. At the very least, this would require nuclear or fusion-driven relativistic spacecraft capable with sufficient automation to transport enough of Earth’s biodiversity to terraform an appropriate, pre-selected extrasolar planet or moon many lightyears away.

·       Type D2: Near-Earth-Object-Collision: Asteroid or comet impacts the Earth. Causes extinction events. Outcome likely similar to nuclear holocaust (see Type 6). Civilization not likely to survive intact, but the near-earth object would be detectable from a distance, it wouldn’t sneak up on us overnight because we have telescopes that can detect these objects in time for us to at least try to come up with some kind of contingency plan. Likelihood of human survival and reproductive viability is probably slightly higher than in the event of nuclear catastrophe, due to the lack of radioactive threats in this scenario. Most likely we would be able to avert this disaster through careful planning and application of space travel technology, for example by sending unmanned rockets with robotic probes that can attach propulsive units such as thrusters or solar sails to the near-earth object and divert its course, but depending on range and interception variables, the object might still exert an environmentally disruptive influence on Earth, for example by gravitational pull that causes tidal or tectonic shifts, threatening lives and infrastructure.

 

 

Type F: “Fantastic” Scenarios (AKA “Just for Fun”): the following subtypes are not based in hard science, economics or sociology.

·       Zombie Apocalypse

·       Vampire Apocalypse

·       Other supernatural or religious event: Religion is not considered in depth in this book due to the materialistic assumptions of our speculative inquiry. Neither author is particularly religious in practice and we do not expect the text of “The Revelation to John of Potmos” to be realized either literally or allegorically, as many have predicted it in various forms through the 19th into the 21st century. However, as a social factor, religion is highly important in moderating or exacerbating the human response to catastrophe. Religion is a tool, it can be beautiful or banal, sublime or deadly, depending on who employs it. While history does contain examples of apocalyptic “new religions” (problematically referred to elsewhere as “cults,” but historically that term has been used by more mainstream religious groups to marginalize and demonize faith minorities) whose members have attempted or succeeded in mass suicides, these were ultimately tragic events that involved relatively small numbers of people compared to the general global population. Jonestown comes to mind, obviously, but even the infamous “Heaven’s Gate” mass suicide in 1996 involved a smaller group out of a larger core of individuals who identified or affiliated with that sect. 

 


 

Part 2: A Wasteland Home Companion

 

“And knowing is half the battle!”

-        “G. I. Joe” (1983)

 

Improvising Weapons, shelter, and other basic necessities and human comforts without the service sector economy.

 

Biodiversity, and Cascade Failure: what they are, and why they matter. Lessons in controlled microclimate management.

 

Eugenics, Dysgenics, and Sexual Selection. A Fourth-Wall Breaking Darwinian Romantic Horror-Comedy, coming to a streaming media platform near you.

 

Practical uses of human urine and other common household items (“The Wastelander’s Cookbook”)

 

The Post-Plastic Era of Civilization: Petroleum, from Prehistory to Peak Oil: An Economic Love Story.

 

Apex Predation and the Cannibal’s Dilemma

 

Guns, Bows, and Blades: ranged weapons and metalworking in the post-apocalypse.

 

Basic chemistry

 

Rudiments of Diet

 

Infrastructural Maintenance

 

 

Ethical Dilemmas of Neo-Survivalism and Anarcho-Primitivism

 

The Allure of the Future-Primitive and the Pitfalls of Romanticism and Cultural Appropriation

 

 

Navigating Environmental and Social Hazards of the Post-Apocalypse and Dystopia

 


 

Part 3: Some Modest Proposals

(with apologies to children and other living things)

 

 

“Last one to die, please turn out the light.”

-        Advertising poster for “Children of Men” (2008)

 

“A new life awaits you on the off-world colonies.”

-        Airship billboard in “Blade Runner” (1982)

 

 

Life on Earth Will End. But YOU can make a difference in the universe. How to survive in the short-term and sustain human life in the long-term. Here are several technologies and planning initiatives that could theoretically sustain human biology and culture when Earth is no longer a viable home.

 

Pitfalls of plans to survive and rebuild include racial, class-based, sexual, cultural, and other contextual biases. The authors of this book wish to offer hypothetical planning modalities to preserve not only human biodiversity, but also human cultural diversity, as much as possible, without discrimination of selection unduly privileging or disadvantaging some groups relative to others. In the wrong hands, for example, even a “soft” eugenicist or a bourgeois classist planner, all of these hypothetical modalities have the potential for severe abuse. For that reason, we are presenting this section with full acknowledgment of the worst, most problematic aspects of normative selection bias.

 

“A New Life Awaits You on the Off-World Colonies”: space colonization requires intensive centralized planning and resources. It’s not like a bunch of pilgrims can set sail across the void in an interstellar Mayflower. Space travel is not like ocean travel or air travel. It poses a unique and harsher set of restrictions and limitations, and setting up a colony in another solar system is a much more robust challenge than colonizing an island or continent on one’s own planet.

 

Considerations for Archivists:

·       Analog vs. digital records. Storage mediums. Technology for data vaults and space libraries.

·       Older technology of data storage is actually more durable and longer-lasting than the more “advanced” and fragile methods. Magnetic tape can theoretically outlast flash drive in time and space. We should be careful to archive what we wish to transmit to our distant descendants, lest they grow up thinking the height of our civilization was VHS, Pac Man and Day Glo jackets. There’s a reason future settings in dystopian science fiction seem to be stuck in a hyperactive version of 1980s pop culture. Mostly, it’s because writers are older than viewers and readers, and they write they know. But the phenomenon has relevance for archivists because the trope of future-people misremembering and misunderstanding modernity is just as likely to be true as it is of us in the modern age that we misunderstand and misremember the past. How many of us need reminders that the Civil War and the American Revolution took place about a century apart? How many of us confuse ancient Greece and ancient Rome in our popular memory? As with individual memory, collective memory necessitates elaboration and embellishment. To remember is to reconstruct, to redefine, to shape according to contemporary sensibility. What misguided ideas will our descendants have about us, and the way lived and died, on Earth, or elsewhere in the cosmos?

 

Modalities of space colonization:

 

·       Gene Arks and Embryo Arks. Human genetic or embryonic material is stored on an automated spacecraft and supervised/cared for by artificial intelligence until it can be reconstituted technologically in an Earth-like environment elsewhere in the universe.

·       Suspended Animation (“Noah’s Ark”/”5,000 Breeding Pairs”): not likely to be cryogenic, as this process causes irreversible cell damage to human bodies that prevent revival from a cryogenic state; however, if another (speculative) technology exists at some point in the future to preserve human life artificially, that arrests the aging process, than humans themselves, rather than their DNA or embryos might be transported offworld to another planet to live. However, this would be significantly less efficient than the above “Gene Ark” or “Embryonic Ark” modality because it would require a more massive spacecraft with consequently more high powered propulsion of life preservations systems than the relatively simple “gene/embryonic ark.” Any human colony, to have the minimum amount of sustainable biodiversity to prevent deleterious inbreeding, would need to include at least 5,000 breeding human pairs. This would also require a more stringent selection process for psychological and relational stability. It’s much easier to send embryos or the equipment to clone humans long distances than it is, in theory, to transport the minimum number of breeding adult pairs. Homosexual space travelers and space travelers who are infertile would also be screened out and discriminated against in this scenario.

·       Generation Ship: an even more ambitious modality with a significant number of logistical and technical constraints and challenges. It’s theoretically possible to build a huge, slow moving spaceship that can support a growing population long enough to get that population to an Earth-like world pre-selected by the mission planners. However, it would be even more difficult than the “Noah’s Ark” modality and riskier to the humans involved, since an artificial biosphere would lack much of the biodiversity that “cushions” Earth’s biosphere against catastrophe. A self-contained environment in space where humans live and work while on a one-way trip to another solar system would be highly vulnerable the phenomenon known as “Cascade Failure,” in which the artificial ecosystem quickly destabilizes from effects that would be less impactful or catastrophic on a natural, more biodiverse ecosystem.

 

·       Non-Physical Transplantation: an alternative and more speculative modality in which human consciousness itself is separated from our physical bodies through a “brain uploading process” or another hardware/wetware interface, and reconstituted with a new physical form (likely mechanical or bio-engineered) elsewhere in the universe, if a sufficiently Earth-like habitat cannot be found or created feasibly. This would involve radically altering human physicality, although theoretically our mental natures would remain intact. In this scenario, human minds  are transplanted into synthetic bodies (robotic bodies, or otherwise bio-engineered creations adapted to an “alien” environment). Also known as “bio-forming” (compared to “terra-forming.”)

 

·       Captain Kirk’s Worst Nightmare: Robot Parents? Or Computer Gods?

 

o   Assuming we rule out the more ambitious endeavors and focus solely on transplanting embryos or artificially gestating humans from genetic material carried aboard an “Ark,” we are left with a problem similar to but distinct from the “Teenage Wasteland” scenario. Once human life is transplanted, the only “guides” and “protectors” available to see it to maturity would be robots. Whether we are able to transplant the rudiments of technological civilization, or whether the young colonies would have to rebuild some basic level of infrastructure after a potentially regressive “settlement” period, this would still be a “colony” in the broadest sense, not connected by any regular root of communication or travel to the motherworld, quite unlike colonies of historical, Earthbound empires. Earth would not have a “colonial” relationship with these worlds in the economic sense. Travel would most likely be one-way and communication practically non-existent, in the absence of speculative faster-than-light (FTL) propulsion. Assuming no FTL, the young humans on the new world would be totally cut off from the cultural institutions of the motherworld and would have no adult parent-figures to care for them until they mature. The best we could do for these children would be to develop “parental” artificial intelligences that would act as guides and protectors for our young “colonists.” What would such a civilization look like if re-established on another world, 100 or 1,000 years later, to the next wave of immigrants from Earth? Would the descendants of the expedition continue to live under the guidance of AI? Would AI fulfill a parental role? Or would it evolve and become something more like a God, either in practice or perception? Perhaps, an entire AI religion would be spawned by these “future primitive” colonists, humanity’s last best hope for survival in a cold and indifferent universe.

o   James T. Kirk, the famed commander of the fictional Starship Enterprise, comes to mind. In his television adventures, Kirk often discovered societies of humanoids living on other planets under the heel of a domineering machine intelligence. Often, these worlds were implied to have been saved from disaster by the very machines that now keep their people paternalistically subservient. Inevitably, Kirk would defeat the master-computer-god-figure with a humanistic “logic bomb” that’s not likely to work on any real computer, intelligent or otherwise. And Star Trek and other science fiction has often been at its best when its stories were allegory, so the authors of this book do not mean to seriously suggest that the “natural” tendency of humans is toward slave-like or child-like subservience in paternalistic relationships with god-figures or charismatic authorities. We do not believe this. Our views tend more broadly toward “humanism.” But we do think the role of AI in protecting, nurturing, and sustaining human life in a universe that is indifferent to humanity deserves speculative analysis in the context of these survival modalities.

 


 

Cosmic Troll

 

The Mayan Afterlife…

Stardate Unknown…

 

 [ NOT YET COMPLETED/WRITTEN- placeholder note ]